23rd October 2023 In the intricate dance of global finances, we find ourselves yet again in the midst of a week that speaks volumes through price action, shedding light on the trajectory of money flows in recent times. For as we follow the trail of currency, we often discover the brushstrokes of the larger economic canvas. This week unfolded as another chapter in the grand saga of risk aversion. Investors sought refuge, but there was one solitary sanctuary they turned to, an asset that stands as a timeless testament to unwavering strength – GOLD. Like a beacon in a storm, it held firm against the tide of uncertainty. In these times, one could be forgiven for hesitating, but the direction was clear. All roads led to this precious metal, where centuries of history had woven a protective cloak around it. In comparison, other assets paled in the face of this financial fortress. Yet, this flight to safety wasn’t an isolated event. The giants of finance made their moves, positioning themselves in a risk-off stance. And where the financial giants tread, the herd, often referred to as the ‘dumb money,’ eventually follows. It’s a stark reminder that even in these times, you can never be too late to join the herd, especially if what I suspect is looming on the horizon comes to pass. Mind the GAP… The market summary US10Y bonds continued their sell-off, pushing yields beyond the psychological threshold of 5%. A number significant only in the realm of human emotion, but one that signifies a lack of interest and faith in the US and its debt. This is even more glaring when no flight to safety occurs during times of conflict. The Dollar, on the other hand, stood its ground. A flat, unwavering line in the sand, displaying no inclination to sway. It became evident that all financial roads led to a singular destination in the past 1-2 weeks. The SPX500 took a heavy tumble, returning to recent lows. A breach of these levels could very well confirm the arrival of the bear market. Gold, in a spectacular display of strength, surged to the 2000 level, appearing poised to breach it with ease. It’s a freight train hurtling forward, unstoppable. Oil experienced upward momentum throughout the week, though it still lagged behind recent highs. Its fate hung in the balance, as the demands of conflict could push it higher, while a looming recession might drag it down. Bitcoin too had its story to tell, with a push upwards within a range of 32K to 25K. It’s a pivotal moment for the new-age asset. Will it continue to defy market sentiment, or will it revert to its old ways if the markets plummet further? Institutions hold the key to its destiny, as they alone can propel it upwards. Cautionary words are spoken, urging caution in the wishful thinking of enthusiasts. Implications for US Traders For us, traders and observers of this intricate dance, the lesson is clear – track the flow of money, and discard the distractions that flood our screens. The media’s ceaseless chatter might try to pull us away, but our focus remains on the shifting tides of finance. For now, the spotlight is firmly fixed on the US bond market, where trust, or lack thereof, in US debt holds the key. The flight to gold serves as an illuminating beacon, offering insight into the potential escalation of global conflicts. Remember, money moves before news can ever tell its story. Trade smart, Trade safe understanding the flow of money in the financial markets is essential for traders seeking to make informed decisions. By focusing on key assets and currencies, traders can anticipate potential economic trends and geopolitical developments. As we continue to follow the money, it’s clear that the road ahead remains uncertain, but by closely tracking these indicators, traders can navigate these somewhat unprecedented times with a little more confidence. Want to paper trade with a $50,000 account click on the banner below. 

October 16th 2023 In the complex world of finance, understanding where money is flowing is often the key to unlocking the bigger economic picture. Price action and historical asset correlations provide invaluable insights into the global financial system’s current state. In this article, we’ll examine the recent movements in major assets and currencies to discern where the money has been heading over the past weeks and what it might mean for the global economy. Money Flow Overview In recent weeks, the financial markets have witnessed significant shifts in money flow, signalling changing investor sentiment and economic concerns. Let’s explore the key trends in various assets and currencies: The Dollar’s Resurgence The US dollar has seen a resurgence of interest after a brief pullback. This movement coincided with persistent concerns about inflation, with the economic data still showing signs of instability. Investors seem to be flocking to the dollar as a safe haven amidst mounting economic uncertainties. Gold’s Safe Haven Appeal The standout performer of the week was gold, which experienced a significant uptick in investment. This move into gold suggests that investors are seeking refuge from potential economic turmoil, possibly linked to both the escalation of global conflicts and concerns about an impending recession. The rise in gold prices hints at a flight to safety. US10Y Bonds: An Ominous Indicator The US10Y bond market witnessed an initial surge as money flowed into bonds, causing yields to plummet. However, a significant portion of this pullback was subsequently reversed, revealing investor hesitance to fully embrace American debt. This reluctance to trust US bonds, even in times of geopolitical instability, serves as an ominous sign and a critical market to watch for future developments. SPX500 and the Bear Market Warning Despite a surge in the SPX500 and other indices during the week, a minor sell-off at week’s end has left markets in an uncertain position. The absence of clear directional signals suggests that we may be on the cusp of a bear market, though an official declaration requires a 20% drop. Nevertheless, the early indicators are worth noting. Oil’s Surge Amidst Geopolitical Tensions As expected, any news of war typically leads to a surge in oil prices. Over the past week, oil experienced an impressive 8% increase, reflecting heightened tensions globally. The connection between conflict and oil prices remains steadfast. Bitcoin’s Uncertainty Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, exhibited minimal price movement over the week. It concluded slightly higher but provided no clear direction. This asset, while significant, still lacks the market capitalization necessary to play a substantial role in broader economic or geopolitical events. Implications for US Traders Navigating the financial markets during times of uncertainty necessitates a keen focus on money flow. In an era rife with distractions and news stories, discerning the actual direction of capital can provide invaluable insights. Here are some key takeaways for traders: Monitor the US Bond Market The US bond market remains the primary indicator to watch. It will reveal whether trust in American debt persists or wanes, providing vital information about the escalation potential of global conflicts and economic stability. Stay Alert to Early Bear Market Signs While not officially declared, early signs of a bear market may be emerging. It’s prudent for traders to remain vigilant, ensuring they have strategies in place to navigate potentially challenging market conditions. Geopolitical Influences on Oil With geopolitical tensions affecting oil prices, traders should stay informed about global events and their impact on commodities, particularly oil. Bitcoin’s Role in the Market Bitcoin’s lack of significant movement and correlation with economic and geopolitical events suggest it may still be in a state of flux. Traders should keep a close eye on developments in the cryptocurrency market. Trade smart, Trade safe understanding the flow of money in the financial markets is essential for traders seeking to make informed decisions. By focusing on key assets and currencies, traders can anticipate potential economic trends and geopolitical developments. As we continue to follow the money, it’s clear that the road ahead remains uncertain, but by closely tracking these indicators, traders can navigate these somewhat unprecedented times with a little more confidence. Want to paper trade with a $50,000 account click on the banner below. 

Date: October 9th 2023 Market Basic Overview In the ever-evolving world of finance, understanding where the money flows is the key to deciphering global trends. This week, we witnessed a whirlwind of activity in the markets, driven by a PAN (Panic) selloff sparked by a sudden spike in bond yields. While this may have rattled some, it’s essential to dissect these price actions to uncover the underlying story. Dollar’s Tempting Dance The week began with the dollar making strides, but it swiftly retraced its entire move, leaving behind its first red candle in 13 weeks. For technical analysts, this bearish inverted hammer candle raises questions. Is it a mere short-term pullback, or will the dollar continue its ascent? Money is still pouring into the dollar, and it might have room to climb even higher, potentially reaching the 110 mark. US10Y’s Steady Exodus Another notable trend this week was the relentless rise in yields, signalling a substantial shift of capital away from 10-year bonds. This exodus from bonds is a critical indicator of market sentiment. SPX500’s Rollercoaster Ride The SPX500 experienced an overall decline but displayed an intriguing lower wick before retracing upwards. Despite this rally, it couldn’t fully recover from the earlier week’s sell-off. The question that looms is whether this is merely profit-taking or if the selloff has truly concluded. Gold’s Glint of Hope Gold seemed to have found its footing as the sell-off temporarily halted. The yellow metal staged an impressive rally, indicating a substantial influx of capital into commodities and metals. However, unlike the stock indices, gold didn’t fully retrace its initial dip. Could this be the bottom for gold, paving the way for a significant upward move? Oil’s Rocky Road Oil witnessed a substantial pullback, retracing the gains from the previous four weeks. This decline was somewhat expected but found support as it hit a supply zone towards the end of the week. The oil market is in flux, and traders must watch for potential opportunities in this rollercoaster. Bitcoin: The Enigma Unfolds Bitcoin, in a break from correlation with other assets, exhibited a flat performance for the week. Amid the PAN selloff across various markets, Bitcoin’s stability raises intriguing questions. Is this a lack of demand for the cryptocurrency, or could it signify underlying strength? Bitcoin continues to be a standout asset, warranting close observation in the coming week. What This Means for Us Traders For traders, this week’s market movements underscore the importance of tracking capital flows. Whether you’re a buyer or a seller, understanding the prevailing direction can help identify potential continuation plays, particularly in intraday trading. At this juncture, risk remains off, with capital steadily exiting most markets and flowing into the dollar. However, Bitcoin remains an outlier, making it a focal point for traders seeking to navigate these turbulent waters. As we move forward, the evolving landscape of money flows will be a compass for traders seeking their next strategic move. Stay vigilant and adaptable as you navigate these ever-changing financial currents. Want to paper trade with a $50,000 account click on the banner below. 

Date: October 2nd 2023 Welcome to our weekly dive into the world of trading, where we follow the intriguing trail of money and decipher the global financial puzzle. This is no ordinary market overview; it’s a journey through price action and historical correlations between assets that unveil where the wealth has flowed in the past week(s). By following the money, we get a vivid glimpse of the broader economic canvas. The Mighty Dollar’s Dominance The dollar has been on a relentless uptrend since June 23, showcasing remarkable strength yet again this past week. Rumours abound of nation-states parting with their assets, with China and the United Arab Emirates making headlines. Meanwhile, the Eurozone seems to be gearing up for winter by ramping up its oil purchases, all contributing to the enigmatic ‘Dollar Milkshake’ theory. While the dollar’s ascent is remarkable, a pullback is certainly on the horizon. US10Y Yield’s Unstoppable Surge US10Y yield is in a league of its own, spiralling upwards in a seemingly uncontrollable fashion. Each passing week, it surges higher, and its macroeconomic impact cannot be overstated. The persistent sell-off of US debt is sending warning signals throughout the market, and it’s a situation that urgently requires containment. SPX500: Breaking Technical Barriers The SPX500, like most indices continued its sell-off, shattering technical support levels and refusing to show any signs of relenting. Precious Metals Under Pressure Gold faced a substantial sell-off, mirroring the indices’ performance. The rising dollar’s impact on gold and commodities, in general, is undeniable. Silver faced an even harsher blow towards the end of the week. Oil’s Rollercoaster Ride Oil embarked on a rollercoaster journey, surging at the week’s outset but enduring a significant sell-off in the latter part. A pullback had been anticipated. Bitcoin’s Surprising Surge In an unexpected turn of events, Bitcoin saw a substantial upward move this week, culminating in a triumphant Sunday that shattered recent highs and a significant trendline. It stands out as a unique outlier, inversely correlated with gold and traditional indices. Keep a close eye on Bitcoin in the coming week. What This Means for Use Traders For us traders, the key takeaway is the importance of tracking the flow of money. While we are constantly buying and selling, understanding the direction of these financial currents can be a boon for spotting continuation plays and engaging in intraday trading, if that aligns with your trading style. At this stage, it seems that risk is off, with money flowing into the dollar, potentially fuelling the Dollar Milkshake theory’s continuation. However, Bitcoin remains a captivating anomaly and a market to watch closely in the week ahead. As we embark on another week of trading, remember that the financial world is in a constant state of flux. Staying informed and agile in your trading strategies is paramount. Until next week, may your trades be fruitful, and your insights be astute.” Be safe Navigating the Seas of Risk – A Vital Trading Skill In the world of trading, understanding and managing risk is as essential as deciphering market trends. As we follow the ebb and flow of money, it’s imperative to remember that trading is not just about making the right calls but also about safeguarding your capital.  Mastering risk management in trading Want to paper trade with a $50,000 account click on the banner below. 

 Welcome back to our weekly update on the tumultuous world of trading. In this journey, we set sail with the US10Y Yield, an asset class often regarded as the captain of all markets, as it steers the course of global financial tides and offers crucial clues about what’s unfolding elsewhere. US10Y Yield Surge Our voyage commences with the US10Y Yield, the undisputed behemoth of the financial world. With relentless upward momentum, it continues to chart its own course, casting a shadow of uncertainty over other markets. The ever-increasing sell-off of US debt is a red flag, and rumours abound of China divesting its holdings. The implications are far-reaching, demanding immediate containment measures to prevent a broader financial tempest. Dollar Dominance  Our journey next takes us to the world’s primary reserve currency, the dollar, which remains a powerhouse, relentlessly ascending week after week. The world clamours for dollars, driven by the urgent need for liquidity amid the looming global recession. The Dollar Milkshake Theory ( world wide dollar liquidity)  remains in play, but we stand on the precipice of a potential pivot. Before embarking on a higher ascent, the dollar may pause for a pullback or consolidation this week. SPX500’s Rollercoaster  The SPX500 comes into view as we navigate the financial seas. A persistent sell-off continues, marking the second consecutive week of substantial declines. Lower lows are now a stark reality, potentially signalling the onset of a broader downtrend. Whether this decline persists into the coming week remains a question mark. Gold’s Rocky Road Our course then shifts to the enigmatic realm of gold. The week began with a sell-off, but a partial recovery ensued, leaving us in a state of equilibrium. A further decline in gold prices could trigger a ‘risk-off’ sentiment, possibly igniting a broader market panic. However, gold has yet to embrace its role as a safe haven asset, failing to incite a flight to safety in assets like gold or cryptocurrencies. Oil’s Calm Waters  Amid the market’s turbulence, oil presents itself as a haven of tranquillity, remaining relatively flat for the week. Though it teased a continuation, it gracefully executed a pullback before inching back toward recent highs. This price action is indeed the woes for consumers and continues to fuel inflation talk.  Bitcoin’s Uncertain Course  As we approach the end of our voyage, we encounter Bitcoin. It rebounded after flirting with a downward trendline but appears fragile. A descent to as low as 23K looms on the horizon, possibly in the coming week. It may stall momentarily around 25K, but it would require a critical event such as bank closures or profound market fear and policy shifts to stir significant action. Even then, Bitcoin is likely to initially succumb to the broader market turmoil. A bounce towards strength could signify a crucial level at 23K, and should that line break, the road to 10K may open. Charting Our Course as Traders  So, what does this all mean for us, the traders? It’s a matter of vigilance in tracking the ebbs and flows of capital. As traders, we are both buyers and sellers, but a nuanced understanding of the prevailing direction can enhance our ability to identify continuation opportunities, especially in intraday trading. If this aligns with your trading persona, we currently witness a flow of funds into the dollar, where it holds court as the ‘prettiest pig in the pen’ amidst the financial menagerie. Therefore, our journey this week is marked by the relentless ascent of the US10Y Yield, the commanding presence of the dollar, the tumultuous seas of the SPX500, the enigmatic course of gold, the placid tides of oil, and the uncertain path of Bitcoin. As traders, we stand as captains of our own ships, navigating these waters with knowledge and insight, ever-ready to adjust our course in pursuit of profitable trades. Until our next voyage, fair winds and following seas. Want to paper trade with a $50,000 account click on the banner below.